FATALISM AND DEVELOPMENT IN NEPAL
Alan Macfarlane
[From Michael Hutt (ed.), Nepal in the
Nineties (Oxford Univ. Press, Delhi, 1994)
p.106
It is possible to take very different views about
the way in which Nepal
is currently heading.(1) An optimistic assessment
culled from official
statistics and superficial impressions could be
made. In contrast to India
there appears to be little absolute poverty, with
no begging and no real
shanty towns. Famines are infrequent. There is a
notable absence of
violence; the police are few, crime rates are
low, and political violence
has been limited.
These
impressions could be backed by impressive statistics. From a
standing start in 1950, when the Ranas were
overthrown and Nepal
began to be transformed from a medieval oriental
despotism into a
modern nation-state, a great deal has been done.
An all but roadless
country In 1950, Nepal had built more than six
thousand miles of
property paved highways by the late 1980s.
Between 1950 and 1980 the
cumulative growth in various sectors has been
estimated as follows: '70
times in power generation, 13 times in irrigation
facility, 134 times in
school enrolment, 12 times in number of hospital
beds'. (2) Epidemic
diseases have been practically eliminated. Infant
mortality rates have
been halved. Piped water has been brought to most
villages. An
international airline has been started. Nepal now
exports goods worth
more than 25 million US dollars a year. A large
tourist industry has
been created, with over 300,000 tourists (other
than Indians) a year. A
literacy rate of two per cent in 195 1 had been
increased to over 40 per
cent by the late 1980s. There are more than 150
university campuses.
Kathmandu and other towns have grown remarkably
and now have
many facilities, including television, computers
and many modern
goods and services. All this has been achieved
with no significant revo-
lution or bloodshed. It looks like an economic
and social miracle.
Yet an equally convincing case could be made to
support a
(1) This article was originally published in Cambridge
Anthropology, 14:
1 (1990). 1 am grateful to the Editors of that
journal for permission to
reprint it in this collection. Some of the
fieldwork upon which it is based
was funded by the Economic and Social Research
Council. Sarah Harrison
gave valuable advice on earlier drafts of the
article and helped with the
fieldwork. Some interesting comments on an
abbreviated form of the article
are contained in a letter by David Seddon to the
London Review of Books,
16 August 1990.
2 Gurung, 1926: 246.
107
pessimistic assessment. Despite a long
established family planning
policy, there has been little success in
controlling population. In 1800
there were less than two and a half million
people in Nepal. By 1941
there were about six million. By 1971 the
population had nearly
doubled to eleven and a half million. It is currently
over eighteen
million and is projected to be at least
twenty-five million by the year
2001. It will thus have increased four-fold in
sixty years. At present the
population is growing faster than almost anywhere
in Asia, at 2.7 per
cent per annum, and the use and knowledge of
contraception is lower
than in any other Asian country. (3)
This
population pressure is particularly worrying because of the eco-
logical situation. The population density in
relation to cultivable land
is as high as in many of the far more fertile
Asiatic deltas. People press
on land that is usually a thin covering of soil
on extremely steep rocky
slopes, swept by torrential monsoon rains. The
growing numbers
exploit the remaining forest ever more intensively
for firewood, fodder
and grazing. The results are very serious. Moddie
concludes that 'Nepal
provides the most dramatic example of the spread
of desertification....
In a flash, within the decade ending 197 1, Nepal
had lost 50 per cent of
its forest cover....' (4) Eckholm claimed that
Nepal faces 'the world's
most acute national soil erosion problem'. (5)
One expert estimated that
Nepal was losing 164,000 cubic inches of top soil
each year. (6) A figure
quoted by the Annapurna Conservation Area Project
suggests that 'one
hectare of cleared forest loses 30-75 tons of
soil annually. In Nepal,
approximately 400,000 hectares are cleared each
year....' As Seddon
puts it, 'the country now faces a crisis whose
major components
include serious over-population, ecological
collapse in the densely
populated and highly vulnerable hill areas ...
and overall declining yields
in agriculture. (7) In one hundred years, with
present trends, the
mountains will be stripped of forest and soil,
and a population of over
one hundred million will be forced to live in
absolute poverty or
migrate elsewhere.
These
facts arc well known and easily visible. Less obvious is the
serious deterioration in the material standard of
life of a majority of the
population, despite the massive inflow of 'aid'.
One of the most omi-
nous developments in the last thirty years in
Nepal has been the way in
which the formerly rice-surplus middle hills have
become grain deficit
areas. The western hills, for instance, became
short of grain before
1976, with an average of up to three per cent
decline in food production
per annum over the last few years. (It is
predicted that the food deficit in
3 Seddon, 1984: 1, 87.
4 Quoted in Gurung, op.cit.: 191.
5 Quoted in Seddon, op.cit.: 72.
6 Gurung, op.cit.: 192
7 Seddon, 1979: 46.
108
Nepal will increase at least ten times between
1985 and 2000.8 Hill
farmers, who once produced a surplus, now only
survive with the help
of a steady flow of outside grains. Harka Gurung
quotes a recent
estimate that 'in comparison to the 2.12 per cent
annual increase in
population during 1964-78, annual agricultural
growth was only 0.78
per cent and this indicated a reduction of
annually 21 kg. per head in
food consumption'. (9)
What
these general trends mean for individuals is best seen in one
central hill village where data has been
collected over the last twenty
years. Between 1970 and 1990 there has been an
almost 50 per cent
drop in grain production as the land loses its
fertility and goes out of
production. In 1970 most families had enough rice
for themselves and
practically no rice was bought outside the
village. By 1990 only a quar-
ter of the villagers had enough rice for their
needs; rice had become a
luxury rather than a necessity and a large amount
was being bought
from the south.
The
number of animals has also dropped by half. This means that
less manure is available for the fields, hence
there are reduced crops. It
also means a worsening of the diet. Twenty years
ago people in mid-
dling families had a protein-rich diet, eating
meat every two or three
days, drinking milk at almost every meal. Now
they eat meat only once
or twice a month and drink milk occasionally.
Their personal wealth
has visibly declined; the women have sold their
gold ornaments, the
clothing is less adequate, the houses and paths
are deteriorating.
This growing impoverishment reflects a dramatic
decline in the
return on labour. It is estimated that the maize
equivalent (the poor eat
maize) of wage rates fell by roughly 30-60 per
cent in the period 1968-9
to 1976-7 alone.'() In the sample hill village,
there has been an
approximate halving on the returns on labour
during the last twenty
years, thus a halving in the standard of living.
For instance, in 1970 it
took just over a day's work to earn enough to buy
a chicken. In 1990 it
takes two to three days work to do so. A day's
hard work in the fields
produces grain worth 15-20 rupees (30-40p
sterling in 1990); this Is
certainly not enough to feed a family, let alone
clothe, house, marry,
bury, nurse and educate it. Many villages are
propped up by money
from migratory labour in the army or civilian
work in India.
Thus,
on the one hand, we have the national statistics of growing
literacy, improved health, water, roads, trade,
while on the other the ma-
jority of the population are year by year growing
poorer and worse fed
and the environment is rapidly deteriorating. A
strange contradiction.
Furthermore, the contrast between a small
affluent minority in
Kathmandu and other towns, who enjoy almost First
World standards,
8 Gurung, op.cit.: 182.
9 Ibid.
10 Seddon, 1984: 115-6.
109
and the 95 per cent who live in growing poverty,
is growing ever
sharper.
In
fact, the contradiction between progress and impoverishment is
not as dramatic as it seems, for behind the
impressive statistics, the
actual progress is far less notable. The figures
giving total numbers of
schools, hospitals, health workers, miles of road
constructed, are mean-
ingless without taking into account the quality
of what is being devel-
oped. Those who have worked in Nepal all have
their own stories. The
following tiny set of examples, all taken from
one small valley over a
short period of time, could be multiplied a
million-fold.
The
school statistics are impressive and some of the private schools
are good. But the average village school is very
badly equipped, often
not even having benches or blackboards; it
teaches a curriculum which
is of practically no use to the children unless
they obtain one of the
scarce office jobs in a town. Many of the
teachers do not understand the
language of the ethnic group they are working
with and are disillusioned
and homesick. Much learning is by rote, there is
high absenteeism, and
a high failure rate in exams. Attempts to reform
the educational system
have been unsuccessful and the general standard
is very low. Likewise
the universities are very poorly equipped, the
staff badly paid and in
constant turmoil. Education is avidly sought by
the wealthier, who send
their children to expensive schools, thereby
using up all their own capi-
tal and producing an alienated middle strata who
find it impossible to
reintegrate into the basically agrarian economy.
There
has been a massive foreign investment in medical improve-
ments and a superficial counting of the number of
medical personnel or
health posts would suggest a country going through
a medical revolu-
tion. Yet if one visits the hospitals and health
posts, or talks to vil-
lagers who have tried to use them, there is an
overwhelming impression
of a waste of resources and considerable
inefficiency. The government
hospital in the second largest hill town,
Pokhara, is notorious for its
absentee doctors, poor hygiene, careless
operations, shortage of
medicine. The wrong limbs lopped off, all the
nurses absent when
women are in labour, totally inaccurate diagnosis
and prescription, the
siphoning off of time and medicines to private
stores, all are endlessly
alleged. Even allowing for exaggeration and
gossip, there seems to be
much to be concerned about.
Likewise,
the health posts are over-staffed, but under-equipped. One
near the sample village has ten workers, but
anyone seeking the sim-
plest medicine for sores or cuts will be told to
walk a day and buy their
own in the bazaar. There are two nurses, but
neither has even the sim-
plest of gynaecological instruments. Other large
villages have no health
post or health worker and women die needlessly in
childbirth, unable to
make the eight hour journey to the nearest nurse.
The government con-
tribution in one such village of a thousand
people is one rupee per year
110
(less than 2p sterling in 1990). This is the
reality of medicine in Nepal.
The situation with agricultural development
projects is broadly simi-
lar. Most of the budget goes on constructing
buildings, often in the
towns, and on paying staff. Very little reaches
the villages and fields for
which it is destined. The staff themselves are
often disinterested in agri-
culture. As Bista writes, 'Agricultural training
institutions are built yet
farmers are not the ones who go there for
training. People who have no
interest in the soil are the ones who get degrees
in agricultural science'.
A
typical example in the related field of veterinary medicine concerns
the location of the nearest veterinary station to
the sample village.
When I asked why it was located in the plain, two
thousand feet below
any of the villages where the animals which it
was to treat were located,
I was told that the expert who worked there lived
in a nearby town. He
did not want to walk up the steep hill to his
office. It Is not surprising,
with no animals. that it is seldom used.
Furthermore, villagers allege
that they are unable to find anyone present most
of the time. When
there was a chicken epidemic and they enquired
about vaccinations, the
official demanded a large amount for merely
walking to the village, let
alone payment for the injections. They did not
bother and almost all the
chickens in the village died.
Another
example could be taken from the massive effort to install
piped water. A large system, starting in the
sample village, is currently
being built. It is in its early stages but is
already a catalogue of ineffi-
ciency. The pipe joints are inappropriate and
will soon break, the junc-
tion pipes are set at the wrong angle, the pipe
is left exposed at crucial
points to be punctured by passing livestock, the
inflow and outflow
pipes in the tank are at the wrong level. After a
few months, a landslide
fell and blocked the top reservoir entirely, and
a rock fell a little lower
down and severed the pipe. This was quickly
reported and a team came
to investigate. Eight months later, nothing has
been done and no engin-
neers have been seen. The water dribbles down to
only one or two of
the taps in the village.
Again,
there are constant complaints about the working of minor
bureaucrats, who need bribes, are insolent, and
are usually absent from
their offices. Villagers commonly allege that
even for the most minor
business they are told to come back another day,
unless they produce
extra cash, when the business will be quickly
done. There are fears of
the police, who can be brutal, undiscriminating
and not accountable for
their behaviour.
As for
the transport revolution, many of the bridges are unfinished
or badly maintained, the roads soon deteriorate
into a bad condition, the
public transport is ramshackle, public facilities
scarce.
The
question then is, why is Nepal heading towards economic, eco-
logical and demographic crisis, and why has foreign
aid had so little
impact? Two possibilities can be immediately
ruled out. The first is
111
that the people themselves are incapable of
developing. In fact, the
country is rich in human talent. For a century
and a half the middle
hills have supplied the Gurkha troops in the British
and Indian armies.
With training, leadership and organisation, these
hill soldiers have
earned a reputation as one of the most efficient,
brave, hard-working and
efficient fighting forces in the world. They are
full of initiative, practi-
cal, flexible. quick to pick up new ideas. These
qualities, if effectively
harnessed, Could have turned Nepal into a small
example of the south-
east Asian economic miracle. The religion, social
structure and egalitar-
ian values are very similar to what are called
the 'Confucian cultures',
which have been so successful. Yet this is not
happening.
Another
possibility is that aid has not been at a sufficiently gener-
ous level. Again this does not seem to be the
case. It is probable that in
terms of its Gross Domestic Product, Nepal has
received more foreign
aid per head than any other country in the world.
Its strategic position
as a zone between two power blocks, with India
and China competing
for friendship, and Russia and America for cold
war influence, is com-
bined with the sentiments of the Gurkha
association and Swiss-like en-
vironment which bring in British and European
aid. This means that
Nepal has been flooded with aid and advice. Nepal
was only able to
spend less than 65 per cent of the total
allocated aid budget during the
first five year plan period of 1956-6 1. During
the two decades 1951-2 to
1969-70 foreign aid totalled more than 178
dollars. (11) If we remember
that at that time the total exports of goods were
worth less than an
average of 10 million dollars a year, we can see
that money from aid far
outstripped all foreign earnings. There can be
few countries in that
position. Since 1970 the amount of aid has grown
substantially. Of
course. much of the money went back to the donor
countries in the
form of large salaries to their 'experts' and to
pay for machinery and
goods from the donor country. But even after
this, there has been a great
deal left to spend. Combining this money, the
offered expertise and the
natural talent might have led to real advance. As
it is, while the towns
grow and a small segment of the rich get richer,
the population rockets
and the number in considerable poverty grows
daily. How and why has
this happened?
The
conventional wisdom comes in two main forms, demographic-
ecological -geographical, and- politico-social.
The first argument is as
follows. Nepal is a barren, mountainous country
with little good agri-
cultural land. Furthermore, there are few useful
mineral resources, coal.
oil, gas, metals. Communications are very
difficult because the country
is long and thin, from east to west, while the
ridges cut across this
from north to south. There is no sea access and
trade has to pass
through India. All these geographical
considerations make it unlikely
that Nepal would become wealthy.
11 Gurung,
op.cit.: 6 1.
112
On top
of this is the rapid and uncontrolled growth of population
which has already been documented. It is truly a
Malthusian situation,
and it is not surprising that Malthus himself
quoted Turner's 'Embassy
to Tibet' to the effect that 'It certainly
appears that a superabundant
population in an unfertile country must be the
greatest of all calamities,
and produce eternal warfare or eternal want'. (12)
It is argued that the
combination of growing population and poor
resources is enough to
account for most of the problem. (13)
While
it would be foolish to ignore such arguments, and they do
indeed provide some of the essential explanatory
frameworks, they do
not account for all the present trends. The
Malthusian argument only
suggests possible tendencies, what will happen if
all else is equal. But,
of course, all else is not equal. As Malthus
himself argued in the second
edition of his 'Essay on Population', people can
control their popula-
tion if they wish. Furthermore, since Malthus
wrote, the equations have
been altered by the industrial and scientific
revolutions, which allow
production to expand exponentially with the
application of non-organic
energy. Consequently, population and resources
are not determining,
they condition the situation. We only have to
look at Holland, Japan,
Singapore, or Hong Kong, to see how an
inauspicious environment can
be transformed into a centre of wealth through
human ingenuity. In
principle, there is no reason why this should not
happen in Nepal. We
therefore have to seek other causes.
A
second set of arguments concerns the political economy of Nepal.
In a series of studies, Blaikie, Cameron and
Seddon have extensively
documented what they call 'Nepal in Crisis'. They
give detailed evi-
dence to support many of the impressions noted
above. They quote the
Fourth Five Year Plan (1970-75) to the effect
that 'although a number
of development works have been undertaken in
different sectors of the
economy, there has not been virtually any
noteworthy change in the
basic condition of agriculture'. (14) Most of the
money from foreign aid
and the surpluses generated in the villages is
siphoned off to the
Kathmandu valley. They quote Rana and Malla who
wrote that 'in
terms of development expenditures, a
disproportionately large part of
the total investment in the last two decades has
gone to Kathmandu and
its surrounding areas....' (15)
They
show that much of the wealth has been used to produce a
massive expansion in the bureaucracy, a
'combination of rural neglect
with massive redistribution of State revenues in
the form of salaries and
rents to government officials and offices in
urban areas'. They quote
Caplan's study which showed a 32-fold expansion
in the number of
12 Malthus, n.d.: i, 122.
13 Macfarlane, 1976.
14 Blaikie et al, 1980: 63.
15 Ibid.: 78.
113
civil servants in one district in 35 years,
whereas administrative income
had only increased three-fold. They contrast this
bureaucratic growth
with what has been achieved: 'given the massive
increase, both
proportionately and absolutely, in officially
'development oriented'
government departments situated in the (West
Central) Region, the
extremely feeble impact they have had to date on
rural economy and
society in West-Central Nepal is all the more
serious in its
implications'. (16) They show how Indian
manufacturing has crushed
indigenous manufacturing in Nepal, and how little
real development is
occurring. They conclude very pessimistically.
They 'see no reason to
believe' that the peasantry (or anyone else) will
act collectively in time
'to save millions of people from impoverishment,
malnutrition,
fruitless migration, and early death'. (17)
While
the detailed statistics and analyses are very useful in providing
an objective picture of Nepal's serious position,
the explanatory frame-
work they offer is only partially satisfying.
They acknowledge the geo-
graphic and demographic difficulties of Nepal,
but then proceed with
two other kinds of explanation. The first is an
application of
'dependency theory' as developed by various
economists and historians
in the 1970s. They summarise their argument as
follows. 'We follow
more closely the general direction of dependency
theory, which argues
that underdevelopment is a consequence of the
incorporation of a pre-
capitalist system into the global capitalist
system dominated by
I western' economies and 'western' powers'. What
this means in Nepal's
case, which they equate with that of Afghanistan,
Lesotho and Ethiopia,
is described as follows. 'Neither fully incorporated
as a colony, nor
genuinely isolated, Nepal suffered ... the
stagnation that is a product of
its specific form of partial incorporation as a
semi-colony of the British
Raj and more recently within the political
economy of India. (18)
Elsewhere they write that this 'experience as a
'semi-colony' ensured a
degree of 'forced stagnation' in production and
productivity which led to
increased population pressure on marginal land,
emigration, and
ecological decline'. (19)
In this
last quotation the line of causation is made explicit. The
semi-colonial status is the cause of the
demographic and agricultural
problems.
The
idea of core and periphery, or metropolis and satellite, is applied
in two ways. Firstly, in relation to India, their
studies do indeed show
that Nepal's development is constrained by India,
though we may won-
der whether it might well be that Nepal would be
a net loser if Indian
aid, markets, grain and employment were not
available. Be that as it
16 Ibid.: 122.
17 Ibid.: -?84.
11 Ibid.: 187.
19 Ibid.: 5.
114
may, it is not a new or particularly major
advance to portray Nepal as
dependent on India. It is clear that such
dependency is a,-ain not deter-
mining, but just one of the constraints within
which the Nepalese are
forced to operate.
A
second application of dependency theory is within Nepal. While
India is a periphery of the first world, and
Nepal a periphery of India.
most of Nepal is a periphery of the Kathmandu
valley. Again this is
certainly true, and has often been affirmed,
though not usually as well
documented. But again this is largely a
descriptive statement; it
explains little, in itself needing explanation.
Here dependency theory
gives out, unless we take it to be axiomatic that
predatory international
capitalism will inevitably have such effects.
The
authors themselves are aware of some of the limitations of this
approach and admit that 'concepts of centre and
periphery ... are not by
themselves able to provide the complete
framework....' (20) In order to do
that, they argue, a class analysis is also
needed. Thus they try to
provide such an analysis. Here they are
immediately in trouble. Firstly,
as they admit, it is practically impossible to
isolate or delineate classes
in Nepal. One can very roughly talk of a 'ruling
class', but its edges are
very blurred and it is not at all clear that it
has any sense of class-
consciousness or monopolises the ownership of the
means of
production. It would be much more appropriate to
call it a powerful
elite. As for the bourgeoisie, 'In so far as it
can be identified', it is said
to consist almost exclusively of the larger
merchants 'and those
involved in such recent growth areas as tourism
and construction'. (21)
This constitutes a rather feeble bourgeoisie and
furthermore 'it is
difficult to distinguish individual members of
this merchant class . (22)
As for the petty bourgeoisie, they are 'notoriously
difficult to define',
and in Nepal especially so. Only with the 'peasantry',
who constitute
the majority of the population, do we seem to be
on safe ground.
Unfortunately for the future of Nepal, they
argue, the peasantry have no
class consciousness or unity.
The
difficulties of a class analysis are not limited to the impossibil-
ity of finding classes, or finding any real class
consciousness. There is
also the fact, noted several times, that caste
and ethnic allegiances cross-
cut any class identity and are often more
powerful. All this means that a
significant analysis in terms of the dynamics of
class conflict is really
impossible. While the authors assert that 'the
interests of the different
classes outlined above are distinct and in some cases
in overt conflict
with each other', not a single instance of overt
conflict is given. (23) It
would appear that beyond the general statement
that different people and
211 Ibid.: 84.
11 Ibid.: 86.
22 Ibid.: 87.
21 Ibid.: 89.
115
groups have differing access and control over the
means of production,
class analysis is really inappropriate in this
setting. It explains very
little.
Thus
we are left with an enriched description of Nepal's plight, and a
deeper awareness of the influence of India and of
the inequalities
between Kathmandu and the rest of Nepal. But we
still do not know
why Nepal is in its present predicament.
Most of
the theories about Nepal's problems have been put forward
by outsiders. Here we may consider a novel and
interesting hypothesis
put forward by Dor Bahadur Bista (Bista 1991).
Bista is both an outsider
and an insider. He has an unrivalled width of
experience in relation to
Nepal. As a young man he travelled over most of
Nepal in the company
of the distinguished anthropologist Christoph von
Furer-Haimendorf.
On the basis of this experience he wrote the
standard survey, The
Peoples of Nepal (1967). He is trained in
anthropology and became the
first Professor of Anthropology in Nepal.
Combined with foreign trav-
els, this gives him the comparative framework
which allows him to see
his country in perspective. It has distanced him
from his own culture.
Yet he also knows the culture from the inside. As
a member of the
Kathmandu elite. with powerful family and
friendship connections, he
knows the centre, as well as the periphery of the
village. He knows the
political and diplomatic world intimately, having
one son who has been
the Minister of Education and having himself been
the Nepalese Consul
General in Tibet. He knows the educational world,
having begun his
career as a High School Headmaster in 1952 and
later through his
Professorship at Tribhuvan University. He has
experience of the inter-
national ai d world through his own and his son's
involvement in the
International Centre for Integrated Mountain
Development. He knows
the world of business and trade, having been
involved in setting up sev-
eral businesses, a brick factory, carpet factory,
metal crafts manufactory,
and experimental dairy farm. He knows the world
of hierarchy and caste,
himself being near the top of that hierarchy as a
member of an old
family within the Chhetri caste.
This
multifarious life experience of over thirty years has been dis-
tilled into this book, which is an attempt to
give a portrait of a society.
It attempts to diagnose Nepal's ills through the
eyes of a sympathetic
yet critical insider. It has something of the
flavour of other such
attempts; De Tocqueville's Ancien Regime, Weber's
Protestant Ethic,
Taine's Notes upon England. It is worth
considering at some length be-
cause of its insights and because Bista, as an
insider, can say things
which no outsider could say. The Nepalese are a
proud and sensitive
people and the kind of analysis Bista makes,
striking at the heart of
many cherished institutions, could not be borne
from an outsider. But
these things need to be raised, and only Bista
can do so.
Bista starts with the same problem, namely the
patent failure of
116
Nepal to make substantial progress. He
approvingly cites Pandey, writ-
ing that 'enormous financial resources are
devoted to bureaucratic plan-
ning with very little demonstrated results. A
former high level bureau-
crat has even commented that, in spite of almost
four decades of foreign
assistance, agriculture has not benefited; the
poor have been bypassed;
the needs of women have not even been understood;
the relations of
production and distribution have become worse;
and technical assistance
has not contributed to the improvement of
administrative capability'.
He points to the 'snowstorm of statistical
wizardry' embodied in
numerous reports 'without any inkling of how
these abstract figures
relate to the conditions of the bulk of the
people'.
Bista provides
plenty of instances of waste and corruption. For
instance, in relation to education, he gives a
very useful survey of
educational development up to the present. The
expansion in the 1950s
led to a 'certificate orientation' and in the
1950s and 1960s 'education
was becoming quickly a symbol of status, as high
school and college
degrees were used simply for the purpose of
acquiring higher status
positions'. An attempt to reform the system in
the National Education
System Plan had collapsed by 1979; 'students
sabotaged the examina-
tion system through widespread and large scale
cheating, which was
largely ignored by supervisors and teachers'. He
notes that figures of
educational expansion are 'Impressive', 'but they
belie the abuse and
misapplication of educational qualifications. Education
is not
directed to any practical ends, but merely to
enable people to get a job
where they will be able to do as little work as
possible.
In the
field of agricultural development, he cites the Pokhara Crop
Development Project as an example of a total
waste of time and
resources. Those who are trained as agricultural
specialists 'loathe agri-
culture and hate soiling their hands with the
earth. What they learn is
never applied'. The picture is a familiar one. What
is novel is Bista's
explanation of why it is thus.
Although
Bista concentrates on the internal, cultural and social con-
text, he does also refer to the external pressure
of foreign aid which
I reinforces a sense that Nepal is basically a
weak and helpless country'.
He notes that massive foreign aid has helped to
mask widespread eco-
nomic abuse and corruption and points to the
ethnocentricism of foreign
advisers, who are 'often insensitive to the
peculiarities of the cultural
system in Nepal'. But it is this cultural system
that he wishes to
expose. For, while others such as Lohani point to
'powerful external
others' as the root cause of Nepal's problems,
Bista considers this as
yet another example of that evasion of
responsibility and fatalistic atti-
tude which itself is 'the root cause of the
problem'.
Let us
first look at some of the features of that cultural system. It is
a complex of factors which Bista labels
'fatalism' and locates in the
Bahun (Brahman)-Chhetri minority which dominates
Kathmandu and
117
other towns. He does not give statistics, but
this disproportionate dom-
inance is shown by a figure given by Blaikie et
al, namely that while
22 per cent of the population in 1972 were
Chhetri/Brahman/Newar,
these groups held almost 93 per cent of all the
higher civil service and
political posts. It is this culture, which Bista
contrasts strongly with
that of the Mongoloid peoples of the hills and Tarai,
which dominates
Nepal's development. As a member of this culture,
Bista attempts to
analyse its working.
The
complex has a number of castes and a number of manifesta-
tions. At its heart there lie two inter-acting
principles, namely fatalism
and caste. The most important feature is
fatalism, the belief 'that one
has no personal control over one's life
circumstances, which are deter-
mined through a divine or powerful external
agency'. This partly arises
from the Hindu notion of kal-ma, that one's fate
is written on one I s
forehead at birth and there is nothing that can
be done to alter it.
This fatalistic belief undermines personal
responsibility: 'under
fatalism, responsibility is continually displaced
to the outside, typically
to the supernatural. There is a constant external
focus for the individual.
The individual simply does not have control'.
Bista contrasts this to the
situation in western societies and Japan where
people have an inter-
nalised sense of responsibility. The current
dominant value system does
not teach people to accept responsibility for
their failures or to accept
defeat with dignity and grace. They
characteristically blame others.
'Altruism is suspect. Similarly, one is never
obliged to anyone for any-
thing because everything occurs as it should. No
sense of obligation is
instilled'.
The
second main thread is hierarchy, or caste. Bista argues that the
caste principle is not intrinsic to Nepal;
'Nepal's native Hinduism has
not included a belief in caste principles ...
only in the last 135 years has
the caste system gained any kind of
endorsement....' But now it per-
vades all parts of the elite, who feel themselves
superior to the majority
of the population. In particular, it makes the
elite identify with the anti-
practical, non-work, ]deals of the Brahman
priests, who abstain from all
physical work and depend on the charity of
others. This ideal has been
secularised and re-directed through education, so
that 'as a career objec-
tive in modern Nepal, every Nepali tries to have
a jagir, a salaried job
where one does not have to work but will receive
a pay cheque at the
end of each month'. In Brahman belief, the
material world is maya, an
illusion, hence 'there is no dignity in labour.
High caste people have
always despised physical labour and are
accustomed to believing, as
well as teaching others to believe, that
erudition and ritual are the only
important things'.
While
despising those below them, the hierarchic mentality produces
sycophancy and dependence on those above;
'whenever Nepalis receive
good treatment from anyone and become
comfortable, they begin to
118
identify that as a father figure'. The
institution of chakari,
institutionalised sycophancy, is one important
manifestation of this
hierarchical tendency.
Chakari,
originally 'to wait upon, to serve, or to seek favour from a
god', was institutionalised in the
nineteenth-century court of the Ranas.
As in all despotisms, whether in Rome or
Versailles, a court system
was instituted whereby potential over-mighty
subjects were forced to be
constantly visible, and constantly spying on each
other by attending
daily on the most powerful rulers. Later,
'government employees had to
perform Chakari to ensure job security and in
order to be eligible for
promotion'. The system has flourished behind the
facade of modern
bureaucracy; the vast expansion of the salariat,
which feeds off foreign
aid, merely exacerbates the tendency. 'Though it
will be commonly
denied, today Chakari remains a solid fact of
social life, and is evident at
all levels of government'. It Is a way for
information to pass informally
through the organisation, endless gossip and
back-biting is encouraged
as each morning junior officials wait around
their seniors, 'paying
court' and offering small presents. This leads to
widespread paranoia, as
each person maligns others whom he thinks may be
gossiping behind
his back: an alternative to the anonymous poison
pen letter which is so
prevalent in India.
The
Chakari system also interferes with the development of a
Weberian 'rational' bureaucracy, by warping
appointments and deci-
sions. The superior is forced to recognise some
of the chakariwalas and
receive their gifts and servile courtship. This
'leads to a point where the
patron is forced into actions that he would not
normally perform, and
that are not in the best interests of his higher
obligations to the organi-
sation of which he is a part' in other words,
corruption. Decisions are
often made on the basis of the needs of chakari.
Bista concludes that
chakari is a 'built-in guarantor of incompetence,
inefficiency, and mis-
placed effort'.
Chakari
is a vertical relationship, a particular manifestation of those
widespread, personalised, dyadic ties, called
patron-client relations,
which anthropologists have widely documented in
Mediterranean, South
American, Indian and other societies. The
description by Bista fits well
with these accounts, adding the special courtly
feature of bureaucratic
organisations, namely that the main service of
the client is to provide
information, and his main duty is to spend long
periods of time attend-
ing on his patron.
Complementing
chakari and flowing from it, but lying on a hori-
zontal rather than vertical social axis, is the
other main institution, a '
manchhe. There is a strong distinction made
between 'us', who are
trustworthy, loyal, to be helped, and 'them' to
whom one has no
responsibilities, and who deceive and are to be
deceived. In Bista's
words, 'Afno Manchhe is the term used to
designate one's inner circle
119
of associates-it means 'one's own people' and
refers to those who can
be approached when need arises'. Almost every
activity is influenced by
it: the length of time it takes to cash a cheque,
whether one receives a
permit, the treatment one receives in hospital,
one's child's success at
school, all are influenced by afno manchhe
connections. 'Afno manchhe
is a critical institution. It Is integrally
connected with the smooth run-
ning of society'. Sometimes it is
institutionalised into Rotary Clubs,
Leo Clubs, Lions Clubs and the numerous
equivalents of western
masonic-type associations. But usually it is just
a circle of mutually-
supporting associates, whose personal ties cut
across and through the
supposed impersonalities of bureaucracy.
The
workings of a combination of fatalism, hierarchy, chakari and
afno manchhe are examined in studies of
education, politics and gov-
ernment and foreign aid. We have seen that
education becomes a path to
non-manual jobs which are secure and work-free.
In the burgeoning
bureaucratic and governmental system, 'the
practice of chakari is so
ingrained in the modern situation that an attempt
to by-pass it or elimi-
-nate it is treated as an act of social deviance In the growing
Ministries, based on an Indian model, 'chakari
was rapidly institution-
alised as an integral part of all the
ministries'. There is a ritualised use
of 'meetings' and *conferences' and 'seminars' to
cover over the fact that
nothing much is being done, just a lot of
talking.
One
central feature is the fear of decision-making and the taking of
responsibility. 'As the level of responsibility
increases within the
administration, the fewer the decisions actually
made. Making decisions
can be a risky business. In a fatalistic society
people are not thrown out
for not making decisions but for making bad
decisions.... People do not
really expect things to happen.... But doing
something means taking
responsibility~, for it'. Anyone who has tried to
get anything done in
Nepal will know how true this is. Requests are
passed from place to
place and years may pass before a simple
decision, to release some cor-
rugated iron or bridge-building cable or cement,
which has been agreed
in principle, can be taken. 'A variety of not
doing work which might
entail risk, is to pass it on to a higher level'.
Often this means that the
simplest of decisions on small matters goes right
up to the top, to be
decided by the King or a senior Minister. Passing
the buck is an end-
less, and often infinitely circular, game.
Fatalism
and hierarchy also influence the impact of foreign aid.
Firstly they heighten the sense of powerlessness
and dependency which
aid on such a huge scale is in any case likely to
instil. Foreign aid
donors are seen as father surrogates; the only
active agent of develop-
ment becomes the foreign party'. The infatuation
with speculative,
abstract, non-practical and ritualistic thought
deadens action. Those who
go abroad and see alternative systems are soon
defeated by the fatalistic
attitude when they return. Often they leave the
country, those who
120
remain 'become cynics and adapt to Chakari and
Afno Manchhe
culture'.
Within
this corrupt and corrupting system there is a massive squan-
dering of resources. Putting it charitably, 'the
Nepali foreign aid civil
servant operates from Kathmandu, and is oriented
to the Kathmandu val-
ley as the real hub of national life. The welfare
of ethnic villagers in
remote places is hard to identify with.'. Thus
the many dangers of for-
eign aid, the political motives of donors, the
over-paid and ethnocentric
advisers, the high degree to which aid is 'tied',
the absence of any
involvement or consultation with those for whom
the aid is supposedly
designed, are compounded by the administrative
system through which
the development effort is filtered. It is not
surprising that, as Bista
writes, the National Planning Commission's
five-yearly planning doc-
ument 'is worth very little', since it has little
power; 'roads and schools
get built, but most often in areas not designated
by the NPC.'
Development is uncoordinated and ill-planned,
reflecting the random
interests of donors and local patronage networks.
'The size of such
administrative machinery requires a vast amount
of resources for its
maintenance', but, Bista writes, 'the
contribution of such an apparatus
to real development has been negligible'.
It is
a brave man who reveals these characteristics; it is an even
braver one who honestly tries to explain the
source which he believes is
poisoning a potentially viable development. Bista
locates two main
causes, which are again interconnected.
According to Bista, the root cause of 'bahunism' or Brahmanism.
'Bahunism' is a cultural configuration
combining caste and fatalism. To demonstrate
this, Bista provides an
overview of Nepalese history from ancient times,
showing the gradual
spread of Brahmanic values. Caste principles
began to be seriously
introduced into Nepal in the fourteenth century,
and were strengthened
by Jang Bahadur Rana in the nineteenth. An
overview of caste
principles in each region of Nepal is provided.
Various features of
priestly Brahmanism are stressed; its dislike of
manual labour, its
hierarchical view of the world, its dependence on
ritual and magic as
opposed to practical behaviour. For instance, in
relation to education,
'Being educated, then, has a superstitious
connection with high caste,
and the act of being educated becomes the magical
act that draws forth a
sympathetic and supernaturally supported result
of being treated as a
Bahun ... education is another form of
ritualistic behaviour....' The
belief in fatalism arising from the idea of
dharma, the chakari system
arising from the seeking of favour from a god,
the strong distinctions
between 'us' and 'them' in afno manchhe, all stem
from priestly
Brahmanism.
One
needs to add the adjective 'priestly', because Bista is not talking
about the majority of Brahmans, hard-working
farmers who do not prac-
121
tise as Brahmans and who work alongside the other
ethnic groups in
apparent harmony. It is a small stratum, which
also includes higher-
class Chhetris and some Shreshta Newars and
Thakuris, of whom he is
writing.
Bista
examines how the upbringing within such 'Bahun' houses
contributes to the fatalistic and hierarchical
attitudes. Young children are
brought up without much discipline; long
breast-feeding on demand, an
absence of any parental control or strong
standards lead, he believes, to
an absence of an internalised morality. 'There is
no moral pressure or
guilt feeling regarding immoral acts, because
there is little sense of
morality instilled in children: a sense of social
responsibility is simply
not internalised and social sanctions are only
effective in an external
form'. Only fear leads to good behaviour, and
fear can be mitigated by
building up a ' network of friends, afno manchhe,
and a dependency on
outside forces. Bahuns grow to adulthood 'being
self-righteous but
without an ability to be self-critical'.
Much
of this picture of relaxed child-rearing applies to most ethnic
groups in Nepal. What differentiates Bahuns is
their attitude to women.
'Women in Nepal generally have equal status
except among Bahun-
Thakuri and some middle and upper level Chhetri'.
Whereas Gurung
women, for instance, control their husband's
purse, are consulted on all
major decisions, are not considered inferior or
impure, work at similar
jobs to men; none of this is true of the Bahun
culture. Bahun women
are part of the hierarchical system, impure and
inferior, given no control
of money, often badly beaten, often carrying huge
loads while their
load-free husbands walk ahead of them. This
applies to hill Brahmans as
well.
This
attitude to women affects the family at a particular point. High-
caste sons, who have formed a deep bond with
their mothers, are sud-
denly taken from them and taught to treat them as
second-class, pollut-
ing, inferior: 'relations are autocratic, with
females subservient to
males'. A Bahun father, on the other hand, is an
autocrat whose power
remains very strong throughout a son's life. A
son thus learns both
dependency and autocracy in his family and
applies this to the world
outside. The system of partible inheritance,
which shields all sons from
the world, leads to 'a protective and patronising
attitude towards junior
children, especially the youngest' which 'helped
develop the dependence
syndrome to the extreme....'
Thus
Bista's explanation combines sociological and psychological
features arising from the Brahman priest's role
and his family system.
During the last hundred and fifty years, this
small group has taken con-
trol of Nepal politically and bureaucratically,
submerging the majority
whose ethics and attitudes are much closer to the
protestant values of
hard work, honesty, equality and internalised
conscience, which Bista
clearly admires.
122
Two
other insights are worth considering. One concerns the attitude
to time in Nepalese culture. Time is seen as a
river, with no sense of
past, present and future. It is circular rather
than progressive. There is
thus no idea of time as a 'commodity', no idea of
'wasting' time, little
idea of being able to plan or control future
time, little interest in past
time or history. Bista's account reminds one of
many discussions of the
contrasts between protestant and catholic,
'modern' and 'medieval',
I agricultural' and 'Industrial' attitudes to
time and work discipline.
Certainly the relaxed lack of punctuality, the
'timelessness', which
tourists often find so attractive, is less
appealing when it is found
within an attempt to introduce modern
bureaucratic methods. The
absence of a strong sense of the future, and the
fatalism and lack of any
sense of control, combine to make forward
planning, saving, invest-
ment, weak. 'They squander whatever food, grain,
or money they get at
once without any consideration for the future.
Being highly consuma-
tory, no savings take place and there can be no investment.
The society
must remain dependent on foreign investment in
the future....'
Another
important side-effect of Bahunism is on the relations
between individual and group. Bista argues that
under the pressure of
western models, 'traditional group orientation'
is being replaced by
'individualism'. But it Is not that individualism
which De Tocqueville
perceived in America., namely 'a mature and calm
feeling, which dis-
posed each member of the community to sever
himself from his family
and his friends...', but rather the earlier form,
which De Tocqueville
calls 'egotism', namely, 'passionate and
exaggerated love of self, which
leads a man to connect everything with his own
person, and to prefer
himself to everything in the world'. 'Nepali
individualism operates
largely at the more primitive egotistic stage'.
This
egotism is the worst solution to the problem of individual-
group relations. It leads to a mild version of
the Hobbesian war of all
against all, where there is no sense of public
duty or service. 'Very few
people take high positions responsibly, as a duty
to society at large'.
Although there is a residual sense of the local
community and the fam-
ily, 'by contrast, the public, the state, the
nation, are all abstract con-
cepts' which mean little to most people. One
effect of this is visible in
the corruption and laziness of those in positions
of responsibility,
whose main goal is to promote their private and
sectional interests.
Another is in the field of development.
Bista
points out that despite the rhetoric of 'grass-roots develop-
ment', 'back to the village', 'community
participation', the vast major-
ity of 'development' projects are undertaken with
little involvement or
consultation with local communities. Bridges,
roads, dams, health posts
are built often with serious disadvantages to
particular communities.
They are perceived by local inhabitants as 'the
whimsies of the foreign
project directors'. When the bridge, road, dam,
has been built and the
123
facility has been left as 'public' property,
supposedly to be maintained
by 'the public', 'people lack any sense of either
pride or of possession,
as they would towards things they build through
their own efforts'.
Bista argues that 'locally initiated
projects, when funded by the cen-
tral authorities. have the greatest chance of
success'. This is certainly
true. But the absence of a sense of the 'public
good', which is a very
unusual and abstract idea which took many
centuries to develop in the
west, is even deeper than this. The idea of
'citizenship'. of doing a job
for the good of an association larger than the
family, is little developed
throughout Nepal. Thus in the villages, each
development initiative
falls as the individuals employed to carry it out
take their salary to be
an entitlement to do the minimum amount of work.
The tree nursery is
allowed to fade away; the young trees are not
watched by the paid
watchers and are eaten by animals; the water bailiffs
fall to inspect the
water pipe and it leaks badly; the health workers
at the local health post
sell off the best medicine privately and refuse
to visit sick villagers
without large payments; the schoolmasters
appropriate school funds and
absent themselves frequently. These are
widespread activities. Of course,
there are honourable exceptions, but the
pressures of insecurity and fam-
ily need are usually much stronger than some
abstract idea of gener-
alised good. The acts of religious merit, the
making of resting places,
of temples, of paths, are quite frequent. But the
idea of merit, the near-
est equivalent to the protestant idea of
'calling', does not seem to be
applied to the new tasks generated by
development. It is almost as if the
payment of a salary automatically deadens any
sense of public responsi-
bility. It is a social equivalent to the
well-known finding that, contrary
to classical economic laws, the more people are
paid for their labour in
pre-capitalist economies. the less they work.
Much of Nepal thus seems to be in a position
where primordial
loyalties. to family, neighbours, oneself, are
very much stronger than
impersonal ones. people see no benefit in putting
their efforts into
doing things well for the general good.
Anthropologists have
investigated 'amoral familism' quite extensively,
a morality where
people only apply ethical rules within their own
family. One might
well apply the concept here. But in the Nepalese
context, and especially
in the ethnic communities of the mountains, the
community of moral
and responsible behaviour is wider than the
nuclear family of the
Mediterranean and South American examples where
the concept of
amoral familism' was developed. All villagers are
bound together
through marriage, kinship, friendship, work
associations and patron-
client ties and hence will work together in what
is perceived as their
mutual self-interest. But this only applies to
traditional activities where
mutual support is essential. It is an entirely
different matter with
something which an individual, paid by the State,
is expected to do for
some larger abstract entity such as 'the
community', 'the country', 'the
124
nation'. In calculating the best course of
action, the individual state
servant finds that the advantages of leisure or
private reward far
outweigh any feeling that he has a duty to help
such abstract entities, or
that he should do so because he is paid for his
services.
The
idea of 'paying back' something to a society, which lies behind
a vast amount of vaguely altruistic voluntary
behaviour in western
societies, of the noblesse oblige variety, such
as Justices of the peace,
jury service, voluntary associations and
institutes to do good works, is
absent. For instance, only a tiny proportion of
the large amount of
money brought back to Nepal by returning British
Gurkhas, million-
aires by local standards, is ever spent on public
works in the villages
where they were brought up and their families live.
If one hundredth of
this money had been productively invested in the
villages, they would
have been transformed. But such ideas are not at
all familiar. They
would probably be considered luxuries, only
suitable to societies which
had escaped from the knife-edged insecurities of
subsistence living.
Examples
from non-Bahun ethnic villages suggest one type of criti-
cism that could be made of Bista's explanation.
He tends to idealise
non-Brahman groups. He does this for two main
reasons. Firstly, he
uses them as a stick to beat the Bahuns with, a
way of pointing up the
insidious and powerful, but ultimately
'un-Nepali' character of their cul-
ture. The majority of the population are not
hierarchical, but hard-
working, with a conscientious discipline, a sense
of guilt and respon-
sibility and a practical attitude to life. The
village is 'an efficiently
productive and harmonious social group. Secondly,
Bista sees these
ethnic groups as providing an alternative to the
present disastrous
tendency; the only real hope for Nepal lies in
giving their culture
priority over the recently- imported Hindu
culture of priestly
Brahmanism. 'Among the ethnic peoples, then, are
located some very
significant human and cultural resources. These
people are hard-
working, persevering and long suffering,
co-operate well and work with
a dedication towards collective well-being, and
have the qualities
necessary to be successful merchants'. But
instead of cherishing their
cultures, Bista argues, they are belittled,
ignored and destroyed by the
spreading Bahun culture.
Bista
would probably argue that the instances of lack of public spirit
instanced above are the result of the spread of
Brahman values into the
villages. Everyone has become aware of the
corruption, laziness and
inefficiency that pervades most of the salariat.
There is widespread cyni-
cism and a lack of any models for hard-working
and public-spirited
activities. Each individual feels disinclined to
make marginal sacrifices
of his short-term good for the long-term general
good when he thinks
noone else is doing so. Everyone believes that
all others are 'on the
make'. Even if an individual shows some deviant
altruism, his family
and friends would soon put great pressures on him
to desist.
125
This
idea of the spread of egotistic values is partly true. But it is a
little over-simple. The features described are
very widespread in agricul-
tural peasantries which almost everywhere have
little idea of the public
good. But Bista is right that if the elite had by
some extraordinary acci-
dent shown a very different and more 'rational
-bureaucratic -protestant I
character, then the response at the village level
as the new institutions
were developed would have been very different.
One can see this from
the enormous difference between the behaviour of
Gurungs when in the
British army, self-disciplined, hard-working,
altruistic, co-operative, and
when they are working in government employment in
Nepal where they
are often listless, unmotivated and as prone to
pursue their self-interest
as the most acquisitive Brahman or Chhetri. There
is nothing intrinsic
about the differences, but Bista is right that
the tendencies of Brahman-
Chhetri culture and the Mongoloid cultures of
Nepal are very different,
and the balance is swinging towards the former.
In
assessing the degree of success of Bista's analysis it is important
to distinguish three levels of problem. In order
to understand Nepal's
predicament one cannot ignore the gross
geographical and demographic
facts. Scarce, land-locked, resources pressed on
by a very rapidly grow-
ing population are bound to make the task of
development difficult.
This is one type of explanation, a necessary but
not sufficient one.
Ecology and demography, for instance, do not
explain why many aid
schemes fall, or bureaucracy is so clogged. But
cultural explanations do
not account, in themselves, for the shrinking of
the forests and the soil
erosion.
At a
second level, Bista is right to say that it is not sufficient to
blame outside forces. international capitalism,
neo-colonialism, Indian
imperialism or whatever, for all of Nepal's ills.
They do not explain the
waste and inefficiency in local health posts or
aid projects. But they do
help to explain why Nepalese manufactures have
been so unsuccessful,
why hill agriculture is withering, why Nepal is a
minor dumping
ground for medical drugs, drinks and tourists. It
is an incomplete expla-
nation which does not take the international
politico-economic context
of Nepal into account.
At a
third level there are the social and cultural factors which have
largely been left out of account until Bista was
prepared to state them.
Many of his observations are tacitly accepted,
but as with the
Emperor's invisible new clothes, no-one has dared
to say them out
loud. They help to explain a good deal. But there
are qualifications to be
made even at this level. To start with, they do
not explain many of the
pressures on the Nepalese, which are undoubtedly
demographic., eco-
nomic and external. Secondly, it is not clear how
much of the phe-
nomenon of fatalism/hierarchy is due to
Brahmanism.
It is
indeed true that the only Hindu kingdom in the world, Nepal, is
to an exceptional degree dominated nowadays by a
Brahman-Chhetri
126
elite and their values are as Bista describes
them. The problem is that
anyone familiar with other developing societies,
whether in Africa or
Asia or Latin America, will recognise many
identical features. Much of
the lack of western 'rationality' appears to be
an integral feature of such
societies. In particular, anyone familiar with
India will recognise a good
deal of Bista's world in the pages of Kipling,
Paul Scott, V.S.Naipaul
or Varindra Vittachi.
We
might expand Bista's argument to say that certain structural fea-
tures of a society with little experience of
competitive, individualistic
capitalism, suddenly thrown into such a world,
have been combined
with pressures which are more generally Indian,
rather than specifically
priestly Brahman. The thesis would then probably
be nearer the truth.
Much of the educational, political and
bureaucratic system of Nepal is
modelled on India, and it has inherited the
defects, as well as a few of
the merits, of that land. Nepal is thus a
periphery of a periphery in
another sense also.
What
Bista does show, and this is his major argument against fatal-
ism, is that it need not be so. If present trends
continue, Nepal will
grow more and more impoverished and dependent on
foreign aid, as
Blaikie and his collaborators argue. But there is
nothing inevitable
about this. Miracles have happened before, and in
particular in cultures
not dissimilar to Nepal. In the 1950s, most
professional commentaries
were still predicting that Japan was doomed to
poverty and insignificant-
cancer, would never recover and so on. In a
relatively short time it has
become the most powerful economy in the world.
No-one could have
predicted the success of Singapore, Hong Kong,
Taiwan, Thailand and
other 'miracles'.
Current
prophecies of Nepal's imminent collapse could prove
equally wrong in this rapidly changing world. The
sudden demise of
international communism and the Cold War; the new
scientific
discoveries which may make it possible to
properly harness Nepal's one
immense natural resource, hydro-electric power;
new international com-
munications which suddenly open up Europe and the
Far East to
Nepalese products, avoiding the Indian
stranglehold, all these may have
unforeseeable consequences.
Yet
they are unlikely to do so unless those who decide Nepal's
future, both insiders and outsiders, are prepared
to take seriously the
grave defects of present developments and try to
change course. It is too
early to say whether the result of the recent
elections will make this
easier or more difficult.
What
is clear is that it will be tempting to dismiss Bista's work,
even though he cannot be swept aside as an
ignorant outsider, or as a
jealous member of an inferior caste. But it is
important that his argu-
ments , as well as those of others who love Nepal
and care for its future
be heard. Their anger at the wasted potential,
the unnecessary deaths, the
127
grim future, arises not from malice but from a
genuine care for one of
the most beautiful countries and peoples in the
world. Furthermore,
Nepal's fate is part of all our fate. Ask not for
whom the bell tolls.
REFERENCES
Bista, Dor Bahadur, Fatalism and Development:
Nepal's Struggle for Modernisation.
Madras, 1991
P. Blaikie, J. Cameron and D.Seddon, Nepal in
Crisis: growth and
stagnation at the periphery. Oxford, 1980.
Gurung, Harka, Dimensions of Development.
Kathmandu, 1986.
Macfarlane, Alan, Resources and Population.- A Study
of the Gurungs of
Nepal. Cambridge, 1976
T.R.Malthus, An Essay on the Principles of
Population. (Everyman edition,
no date), 2 vols.
D. Seddon, P. Blaikie and J. Cameron, Peasants
and Workers in Nepal.
Warminster, 1979.
Seddon, David, Nepal: A State of Poverty.
(University of East Anglia
Monographs in Development Studies, 11, April
1979).